7 Sept · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KF
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1601
FormWLLWW
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Fadeev
CS
🏓Cosmo Schmitt
ELO 1327
FormLLLWL
88%
12%
Fair odds · Fadeev
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~67 pts
3-0
49%
3-1
26%
3-2
12%
2-3
5%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+274
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+274)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)