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← Challenger Series predictions
07 Sep · 07:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MHMarius Henninger
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1612
3-1Final setsHenninger won
VSVincent Senkbeil
🏓Vincent Senkbeil
ELO 1540
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Senkbeil at 57%. The actual result was Marius Henninger 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henninger favoured — closing 1.64
Favourite won
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Henninger −1.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marius Henninger is favoured to win, below means Vincent Senkbeil.

▲ Marius Henningerpre 39% → final 100%
Vincent Senkbeil ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsHenninger recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games