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← Challenger Series predictions
08 Sep · 06:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RTRafael Turrini
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1879
1-3Final setsFadeev won
KFKirill Fadeev
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1652
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Turrini at 86%. The actual result was Kirill Fadeev 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Turrini favoured — closing 1.21
Upset
Total 69.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Turrini −2.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafael Turrini is favoured to win, below means Kirill Fadeev.

▲ Rafael Turrinipre 90% → final 0%
Kirill Fadeev ▼
Biggest swing 94 ptsFadeev recovered from 6%72 points · 4 games