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← Challenger Series predictions
08 Sep · 09:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MHMarius Henninger
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1612
3-0Final setsHenninger won
RTRafael Turrini
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1879
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Turrini at 92%. The actual result was Marius Henninger 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Turrini favoured
Upset
Total 68.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Turrini −1.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marius Henninger is favoured to win, below means Rafael Turrini.

▲ Marius Henningerpre 5% → final 100%
Rafael Turrini ▼
Biggest swing 96 ptsHenninger recovered from 4%50 points · 3 games