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← Challenger Series predictions
11 Sep · 06:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPThomas Pellny
🏓Thomas Pellny
ELO 1533
3-2Final setsPellny won
KMKai Moosmann
🏓Kai Moosmann
ELO 1338
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pellny at 79%. The actual result was Thomas Pellny 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pellny favoured — closing 1.18
Favourite won
Total 69.5
106 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pellny −1.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Thomas Pellny is favoured to win, below means Kai Moosmann.

▲ Thomas Pellnypre 78% → final 100%
Kai Moosmann ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts72 points · 5 games