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← Challenger Series predictions
11 Sep · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MHMarius Henninger
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1612
3-1Final setsHenninger won
DCDauud Cheaib
🏓Dauud Cheaib
ELO 1744
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cheaib at 74%. The actual result was Marius Henninger 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cheaib favoured
Upset
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Cheaib −1.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marius Henninger is favoured to win, below means Dauud Cheaib.

▲ Marius Henningerpre 27% → final 100%
Dauud Cheaib ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsHenninger recovered from 10%72 points · 4 games