14 Sept · 17:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1450
FormWLLWW
98%Win chancemodel fair 1.02Bertrand
IB
🏓Irvin Bertrand
ELO 1968
FormWWWWW
2%
98%
Fair odds · Bertrand
Model 98% · 1.02vsMarket 92% · 1.09· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 89%Total ~62 pts
0-3
65%
1-3
24%
2-3
9%
3-2
1%
3-0
1%
Elo Gap+518
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+518)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)