14 Sept · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1450
FormWLLWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Lama
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1278
FormLWLLL
78%
22%
Fair odds · Lama
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 64%Total ~69 pts
3-0
35%
3-1
29%
3-2
14%
1-3
8%
2-3
7%
Elo Gap+172
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)