14 Sept · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1861
FormLLWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Turrini
EM
🏓Enio Mendes
ELO 1716
FormWWWLW
74%
26%
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~70 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
13%
1-3
10%
2-3
9%
Elo Gap+145
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)