14 Sept · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1278
FormLWLLL
99%Win chancemodel fair 1.01Bertrand
IB
🏓Irvin Bertrand
ELO 1968
FormWWWWW
1%
99%
⚡ Cover lean · Bertrand
Fair odds · Bertrand
Model 99% · 1.01vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 90%Total ~61 pts
0-3
66%
1-3
24%
2-3
9%
Elo Gap+690
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+690)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)