14 Sept · 14:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1861
FormLLWLW
99%Win chancemodel fair 1.01Turrini
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1278
FormLWLLL
99%
1%
⚡ Cover lean · Turrini
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 99% · 1.01vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 90%Total ~62 pts
3-0
65%
3-1
24%
3-2
9%
2-3
1%
Elo Gap+583
H2H18-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+583)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-0)