14 Sept · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1450
FormWLLWW
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Turrini
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1861
FormLLWLW
5%
95%
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 86%Total ~63 pts
0-3
63%
1-3
23%
2-3
9%
3-2
2%
3-0
1%
Elo Gap+411
H2H13-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+411)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-0)