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← Challenger Series predictions
18 Sep · 07:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KZKarl Zimmermann
🏓Karl Zimmermann
ELO 1521
2-3Final setsScharrer won
MSMauro Scharrer
🏓Mauro Scharrer
ELO 1547
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Scharrer at 52%. The actual result was Mauro Scharrer 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Scharrer favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 74.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Scharrer −1.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karl Zimmermann is favoured to win, below means Mauro Scharrer.

▲ Karl Zimmermannpre 51% → final 0%
Mauro Scharrer ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsScharrer recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games