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← Challenger Series predictions
17 Sep · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LQLiang Qiu
🏓Liang Qiu
ELO 1569
2-3Final setsZimmermann won
KZKarl Zimmermann
🏓Karl Zimmermann
ELO 1521
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Qiu at 57%. The actual result was Karl Zimmermann 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Qiu favoured — closing 1.21
Upset
Total 69.5
87 points played
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Liang Qiu is favoured to win, below means Karl Zimmermann.

▲ Liang Qiupre 54% → final 0%
Karl Zimmermann ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsZimmermann recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games