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← Challenger Series predictions
21 Sep · 06:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AMAlex Moreno
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1246
1-3Final setsZimmermann won
KZKarl Zimmermann
🏓Karl Zimmermann
ELO 1521
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zimmermann at 89%. The actual result was Karl Zimmermann 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zimmermann favoured
Favourite won
Total 72.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Zimmermann −1.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Karl Zimmermann.

▲ Alex Morenopre 8% → final 0%
Karl Zimmermann ▼
Biggest swing 14 pts69 points · 4 games