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← Challenger Series predictions
22 Sep · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AMAlex Moreno
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1246
0-3Final setsTurrini won
RTRafael Turrini
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1879
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Turrini at 99%. The actual result was Rafael Turrini 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Turrini favoured — closing 1.02
Favourite won
Set handicap
Turrini −2.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Rafael Turrini.

▲ Alex Morenopre 1% → final 0%
Rafael Turrini ▼
Biggest swing 1 pts64 points · 3 games