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← Challenger Series predictions
22 Sep · 07:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RTRafael Turrini
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1879
0-3Final setsZimmermann won
KZKarl Zimmermann
🏓Karl Zimmermann
ELO 1521
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Turrini at 91%. The actual result was Karl Zimmermann 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Turrini favoured — closing 1.11
Upset
Total 70.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Turrini −1.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafael Turrini is favoured to win, below means Karl Zimmermann.

▲ Rafael Turrinipre 91% → final 0%
Karl Zimmermann ▼
Biggest swing 91 ptsZimmermann recovered from 9%57 points · 3 games