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← Challenger Series predictions
21 Sep · 17:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AMAlex Moreno
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1246
0-3Final setsSchmitt won
CSCosmo Schmitt
🏓Cosmo Schmitt
ELO 1241
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Schmitt at 64%. The actual result was Cosmo Schmitt 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Schmitt favoured — closing 1.69
Favourite won
Total 75.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Schmitt −1.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Cosmo Schmitt.

▲ Alex Morenopre 31% → final 0%
Cosmo Schmitt ▼
Biggest swing 31 pts51 points · 3 games