21 Sep · 14:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1246
0-3Final setsHappek won
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1285
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Moreno at 55%. The actual result was Sven Happek 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Happek favoured — closing 1.59
Total 74.5
57 points played
Set handicap
Happek −1.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Sven Happek.
▲ Alex Morenopre 52% → final 0%
Sven Happek ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts57 points · 3 games