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Ratings & Predictions
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← Challenger Series predictions
21 Sep · 12:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
SHSven Happek
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1285
1-3Final setsTurrini won
RTRafael Turrini
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1879
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Turrini at 99%. The actual result was Rafael Turrini 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Turrini favoured — closing 1.01
Favourite won
Set handicap
Turrini −2.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sven Happek is favoured to win, below means Rafael Turrini.

▲ Sven Happekpre 1% → final 0%
Rafael Turrini ▼
Biggest swing 3 pts72 points · 4 games