24 Sept · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DZ
🏓Damian Zech
ELO 1363
FormLLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kraus
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1473
FormWLLLL
31%
69%
🌟Kraus stays under total as favourite 66% (67)
Fair odds · Kraus
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~71 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
24%
2-3
15%
3-1
13%
3-2
10%
Elo Gap+110
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)