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← Challenger Series predictions
24 Sep · 11:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KFKirill Fadeev
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1652
3-0Final setsFadeev won
LKLuis Kraus
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1423
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fadeev at 83%. The actual result was Kirill Fadeev 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Fadeev favoured — closing 1.21
Favourite won
Total 69.5
45 points played
Under
Set handicap
Fadeev −2.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kirill Fadeev is favoured to win, below means Luis Kraus.

▲ Kirill Fadeevpre 83% → final 100%
Luis Kraus ▼
Biggest swing 17 pts45 points · 3 games