24 Sept · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KF
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1648
FormWLWWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Fadeev
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1473
FormWLLLL
78%
22%
🌟Kraus stays under total as underdog 65% (111)
Fair odds · Fadeev
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 64%Total ~70 pts
3-0
35%
3-1
29%
3-2
14%
1-3
8%
2-3
7%
Elo Gap+175
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)