24 Sept · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KF
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1648
FormWLWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Fadeev
ON
🏓Oleksii Naplokov
ELO 1478
FormLLLWW
77%
23%
🌟Naplokov stays under total as underdog 63% (46)
Fair odds · Fadeev
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~69 pts
3-0
35%
3-1
28%
3-2
14%
1-3
8%
2-3
8%
Elo Gap+170
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)