24 Sept · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DZ
🏓Damian Zech
ELO 1363
FormLLLWL
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Fadeev
KF
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1648
FormWLWWW
11%
89%
Fair odds · Fadeev
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~67 pts
0-3
49%
1-3
27%
2-3
13%
3-2
5%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+285
H2H20-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+285)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-2)