24 Sept · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🏓Mauro Scharrer
ELO 1563
FormWWWWL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Scharrer
DZ
🏓Damian Zech
ELO 1363
FormLLLWL
81%
19%
Fair odds · Scharrer
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~69 pts
3-0
45%
3-1
24%
3-2
11%
2-3
9%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+200
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)