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← Challenger Series predictions
24 Sep · 15:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LKLuis Kraus
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1423
0-3Final setsNaplokov won
ONOleksii Naplokov
🏓Oleksii Naplokov
ELO 1419
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kraus at 53%. The actual result was Oleksii Naplokov 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Naplokov favoured
Favourite won
Total 68.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Naplokov −1.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Luis Kraus is favoured to win, below means Oleksii Naplokov.

▲ Luis Krauspre 50% → final 0%
Oleksii Naplokov ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts49 points · 3 games