28 Sept · 19:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1845
FormWWWLW
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Turrini
KW
🏓Kento Waltl
ELO 1431
FormLLLLL
95%
5%
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 92% · 1.09· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 87%Total ~62 pts
3-0
63%
3-1
23%
3-2
9%
2-3
2%
0-3
1%
Elo Gap+414
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+414)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)