28 Sept · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1845
FormWWWLW
94%Win chancemodel fair 1.06Turrini
ON
🏓Oleksii Naplokov
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
94%
6%
⚡ Cover lean · Turrini🌟Naplokov stays under total as underdog 65% (48)
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 94% · 1.06vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 85%Total ~62 pts
3-0
62%
3-1
23%
3-2
8%
2-3
3%
0-3
2%
Elo Gap+372
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+372)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)