28 Sept · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1845
FormWWWLW
99%Win chancemodel fair 1.01Turrini
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1223
FormLLLLL
99%
1%
⚡ Cover lean · Turrini
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 99% · 1.01vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 90%Total ~61 pts
3-0
66%
3-1
24%
3-2
9%
Elo Gap+622
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+622)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)