28 Sept · 16:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IB
🏓Irvin Bertrand
ELO 1964
FormWWWWW
100%Win chancemodel fair 1.00Bertrand
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1223
FormLLLLL
100%
0%
⚡ Cover lean · Bertrand
Fair odds · Bertrand
Model 100% · 1.00vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 90%Total ~61 pts
3-0
66%
3-1
24%
3-2
9%
Elo Gap+741
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+741)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)