28 Sept · 18:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ON
🏓Oleksii Naplokov
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Naplokov
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1279
FormLLLWL
80%
20%
🌟Naplokov stays under total as favourite 62% (29)
Fair odds · Naplokov
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~66 pts
3-0
45%
3-1
24%
3-2
11%
2-3
9%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+194
H2H0-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)