28 Sept · 14:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ON
🏓Oleksii Naplokov
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
97%Win chancemodel fair 1.03Bertrand
IB
🏓Irvin Bertrand
ELO 1964
FormWWWWW
3%
97%
⚡ Cover lean · Bertrand🌟Naplokov stays under total as underdog 65% (48)
Fair odds · Bertrand
Model 97% · 1.03vsMarket 92% · 1.08· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 88%Total ~60 pts
0-3
64%
1-3
24%
2-3
9%
3-2
1%
3-0
1%
Elo Gap+491
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+491)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)