28 Sept · 14:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1279
FormLLLWL
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Albuquerque
RA
🏓Raegan Albuquerque
ELO 1584
FormLWWLW
10%
90%
Fair odds · Albuquerque
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 82%Total ~65 pts
0-3
60%
1-3
22%
2-3
8%
3-2
4%
3-0
3%
Elo Gap+305
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+305)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)