28 Sept · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ON
🏓Oleksii Naplokov
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Naplokov
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1223
FormLLLLL
86%
14%
🌟Naplokov stays under total as favourite 62% (29)
Fair odds · Naplokov
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 74%Total ~65 pts
3-0
48%
3-1
26%
3-2
12%
2-3
6%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+250
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+250)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)