12 Oct · 15:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1456
FormWLLWL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Kraus
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1283
FormLLLLL
78%
22%
🌟Kraus stays under total as favourite 65% (68)
Fair odds · Kraus
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 64%Total ~69 pts
3-0
35%
3-1
29%
3-2
14%
1-3
8%
2-3
7%
Elo Gap+173
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)