12 Oct · 19:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🏓John Misal
ELO 1561
FormLLWWW
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Misal
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1283
FormLLLLL
88%
12%
🌟Misal stays under total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Misal
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~68 pts
3-0
49%
3-1
26%
3-2
12%
2-3
5%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+278
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+278)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)