12 Oct · 19:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1850
FormLWWWW
94%Win chancemodel fair 1.06Turrini
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1456
FormWLLWL
94%
6%
🌟Kraus stays under total as underdog 65% (115)
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 94% · 1.06vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 86%Total ~63 pts
3-0
63%
3-1
23%
3-2
9%
2-3
2%
0-3
2%
Elo Gap+394
H2H11-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+394)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-1)