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← Challenger Series predictions
12 Oct · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CSCosmo Schmitt
🏓Cosmo Schmitt
ELO 1315
FormLWLLL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Zimmermann
KZKarl Zimmermann
🏓Karl Zimmermann
ELO 1536
FormLWLWL
17%
83%
Fair odds · Zimmermann
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%

Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.

Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~66 pts
0-3
46%
1-3
25%
2-3
12%
3-2
8%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+221
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (+221)
  • ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)