12 Oct · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1850
FormLWWWW
98%Win chancemodel fair 1.02Turrini
CS
🏓Cosmo Schmitt
ELO 1315
FormLWLLL
98%
2%
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 98% · 1.02vsMarket 90% · 1.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 89%Total ~62 pts
3-0
65%
3-1
24%
3-2
9%
2-3
1%
0-3
1%
Elo Gap+535
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+535)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)