19 Oct · 14:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1770
FormWWWWL
97%Win chancemodel fair 1.03Rinderer
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1262
FormWLWLL
97%
3%
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 97% · 1.03vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 89%Total ~62 pts
3-0
65%
3-1
24%
3-2
9%
2-3
1%
0-3
1%
Elo Gap+508
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+508)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)