19 Oct · 18:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IB
🏓Irvin Bertrand
ELO 1979
FormWWWWW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Bertrand
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1770
FormWWWWL
82%
18%
Fair odds · Bertrand
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~67 pts
3-0
46%
3-1
25%
3-2
12%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+209
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)