19 Oct · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1770
FormWWWWL
93%Win chancemodel fair 1.08Rinderer
MN
🏓Makoto Nogami
ELO 1401
FormLLLWW
93%
7%
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 93% · 1.08vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 85%Total ~64 pts
3-0
62%
3-1
23%
3-2
8%
2-3
3%
0-3
2%
Elo Gap+369
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+369)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)