19 Oct · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AI
🏓Akito Itagaki
ELO 1541
FormWLLWW
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Itagaki
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1262
FormWLWLL
88%
12%
Fair odds · Itagaki
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~66 pts
3-0
49%
3-1
26%
3-2
12%
2-3
5%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+279
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+279)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)