19 Oct · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AI
🏓Akito Itagaki
ELO 1541
FormWLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Itagaki
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1417
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Itagaki
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~70 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
26%
3-2
13%
1-3
11%
2-3
10%
Elo Gap+124
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)