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← Challenger Series predictions
19 Oct · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MNMakoto Nogami
🏓Makoto Nogami
ELO 1401
FormLLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Nogami
AMAlex Moreno
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1262
FormWLWLL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Nogami
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%

Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.

Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~70 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
13%
1-3
10%
2-3
9%
Elo Gap+139
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)