19 Oct · 16:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AI
🏓Akito Itagaki
ELO 1541
FormWLLWW
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Turrini
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1851
FormLWWWW
10%
90%
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 82%Total ~63 pts
0-3
60%
1-3
22%
2-3
8%
3-2
4%
3-0
3%
Elo Gap+310
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+310)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)