19 Oct · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1417
FormLLLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Lama
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1262
FormWLWLL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Lama
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~69 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
14%
1-3
9%
2-3
8%
Elo Gap+155
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)