19 Oct · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IB
🏓Irvin Bertrand
ELO 1979
FormWWWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Bertrand
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1851
FormLWWWW
72%
28%
⚡ Cover lean · Bertrand
Fair odds · Bertrand
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~68 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
26%
3-2
13%
1-3
11%
2-3
9%
Elo Gap+128
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)