19 Oct · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🏓Makoto Nogami
ELO 1401
FormLLLWW
96%Win chancemodel fair 1.04Turrini
RT
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1851
FormLWWWW
4%
96%
Fair odds · Turrini
Model 96% · 1.04vsMarket 90% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 87%Total ~63 pts
0-3
64%
1-3
24%
2-3
9%
3-2
2%
3-0
1%
Elo Gap+450
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+450)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)