19 Oct · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IB
🏓Irvin Bertrand
ELO 1979
FormWWWWW
99%Win chancemodel fair 1.01Bertrand
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1262
FormWLWLL
99%
1%
Fair odds · Bertrand
Model 99% · 1.01vsMarket 92% · 1.08· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 90%Total ~60 pts
3-0
66%
3-1
24%
3-2
9%
Elo Gap+717
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+717)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)